Investors undeterred by arrest of FLC Group Chairman

Apr 5th at 08:13
05-04-2022 08:13:28+07:00

Investors undeterred by arrest of FLC Group Chairman

The recent arrest of Mr. Trinh Van Quyet, Chairman of the Board of Directors of the FLC Group, for manipulation of the stock market, has not deterred most investors.

Illustrative photo.

However, even though there have been hundreds of such cases of administrative fraud for manipulating stock prices in the past, this is the first time a case like this has been reported as a criminal offence. From one perspective, this will create losses for some investors, but in general it will benefit the stock market to move towards a better and more cautious direction.

Dubious dealings

Mr. Trinh Van Quyet's arrest for manipulating stock prices was welcomed by the market in general because such activities were proving to be a long standing pain for a majority of investors. They believe that the administrative penalty is too light for serious offences such as stock price manipulation, and do little to appease the losses suffered by so many investors. The FLC Group has long been notoriously known for its price volatility, as was the case with ROS stock. There was a time when this stock increased nearly twenty times in just one and a half years since listing. A stock that used to have a market value of hundreds of thousands of dong, and in the next one year falls to a few thousand dongs, is rather inexplicable.

It is to be seen if the stock market reacts negatively to the news of Mr. Trinh Van Quyet's arrest. If the answer is in the affirmative, then it means it will directly and indirectly affect many stocks. However, if the answer is negative then it simply means that the affected stocks are not representative of the market.

Immediately after the controversial ban was imposed on Mr. Trinh Van Quyet on 29 March, stocks in the FLC Group, namely, ROS, HAI, KLF, ART, and AMD dropped and continued to be sold at floor price, although they were difficult to liquidate. By the time the arrest information was announced on 30 March, this group of stocks officially lost liquidity, with very few buyers, while thousands of billion dong worth of shares were sold out by investors. The spill over effect from this incident led to a decrease in a series of other highly speculative real estate stocks. This was the direct negative effect of this arrest and many speculators now have a high chance of losing all their money.

However, the FLC Group stocks only have 5 or 7 codes, and the stocks that are highly speculative are only a few dozen codes. This is only a small part of the thousands of shares being traded on exchanges. While speculative stocks dropped at the same time, there were hundreds of other stocks that fluctuated very little, even increasing prices normally. For the real investors, this crisis of losses and sell-offs is happening somewhere far away and is only being reported on TV, hence they feel unaffected by it.

An important follow-up question remains as to why speculative stocks sold off, and the most likely answer is the positive vibration from the arrest. Speculative activities, which cause prices to appear only for the majority of investors, just cannot be proved because of lack of evidence.  Therefore, the criminal handling of this stock price manipulation case of Mr. Trinh Van Quyet is just a shrill alarm bell, and soon the road will become clear again.

Market reacts

The arrest of Mr. Trinh Van Quyet is not the first case that the stock market has had to face. On 21 August 2012, the market reacted negatively to the arrest of Mr. Nguyen Duc Kien which was directly related to ACB shares. On 21 October 2014, Mr. Ha Van Tham was arrested and was directly related to OGC shares. On 1 August 2017, the arrest of Mr. Tram Be was related to stocks of STB. On 29 November 2018, the arrest of Mr. Tran Bac Ha was related to stocks of BID.

It's not hard to see that the impact of these arrests on stock prices and the market as a whole only stumbles slightly and not many people remember the incident afterwards. The related stocks and the general market still move forward for one very simple reason that cannot be equated with a collective. Without Mr. Tran Bac Ha, BIDV would still be a good bank. Without Mr. Nguyen Duc Kien, ACB would still grow. Therefore, Mr. Trinh Van Quyet will also be just a name for investors in a few years, as an example of fraud.

Since the new investors increased massively in the stock market in the last two years, the trend of short-term speculation and snapping has exploded. There is a speculative cash flow towards good stocks that increase in price, even though these are stocks of companies with losses, even those losing consistently for many years to the point that they are delisted. Massive liquidity in the market is a good thing, but it is not good if this abundant cash flow upsets the normal value of the stock market.

On the other hand, setting a precedent of a first criminal case for manipulation of stock prices will serve as a warning sign for speculators. There will be no administrative fines included in the price costs as before. The stock market needs shocks of the right magnitude to remind it that one of the lifelines of the economy needs to have smart investment cash flow as the key, not a scam cash flow method.

Báo Sài Gòn Đầu Tư





RELATED STOCK CODE (9)

NEWS SAME CATEGORY

Sacombank (STB) 2021 profits exceed target by 10%

Despite facing difficulties caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, Sacombank’s pre-tax profits were worth VND12.66 trillion (US$554.16 million) last year, though after...

MWG seeks to find strategic partner for Bach Hoa Xanh (BHX)

A proposal to issue private equity shares of Bach Hoa Xanh (BHX) Trading JSC will be presented to Mobile World Group's (MWG) shareholders soon, according to the...

Mixed fortunes for rubber industry (PHR)

While some rubber firms are aiming high this year, others have had to lower profit targets due to various risks.

Investors favor textile stocks (ADS) with long-term growth

The textile and garment industry is expected to have bright prospects in 2022, but due to a sharp increase in stock prices since 2021, many stocks seem to be at...

Real estate market (DXG) riding high

Favourable factors, including the Government’s support packages and the reopening of tourism, have given a fresh impetus to the real estate market.

Cement company shares (CLH) skyrocket to historic highs

Shares of cement companies are skyrocketing to record highs amid positive market forecasts.

Viet Nam’s largest dairy producer (VNM) eyes 5-per cent revenue growth in 2022

Vinamilk, the largest dairy producer in Viet Nam, has set a revenue growth target of at least 5 per cent in 2022, higher than the last year's target of 2.2 per cent...

FPT to pay cash dividend at 40 per cent

FPT, the country’s largest ICT company, will pay a cash dividend for 2022 at a rate of 40 per cent, according to an announcement released by the corporation.

Hoa Sen Group (HSG) set profit target up to US$110 million

Hoa Sen Group (HSG) set an after-tax profit target of VND1.5-2.5 trillion (US$65.8-110 million) for the financial year 2021-22, depending on input material price...

Reopening of tourism this month offers hope to businesses (VNG)

The official reopening of international tourism this month offers hope to tourism businesses who have been hit hard in the pandemic.


MOST READ


Back To Top