Stock uptrend likely despite divergence
Stock uptrend likely despite divergence
Stock analysts have predicted the market will likely extend gains this week but divergence will continue in the context of third-quarter earning reports.
The VN-Index on the HCM Stock Exchange rose 1.63 per cent in all five trading sessions last week, closing Friday at 820.95 points. The benchmark index has expanded over 2 per cent since the beginning of this month.
On the Ha Noi Stock Exchange, the HNX-Index increased 1.05 per cent last week, ending Friday at 109.11 points. The northern market index edged up 1.3 per cent since early October.
Liquidity also improved with an average of 188.7 million shares worth a combined VND3.8 trillion (US$167.4 million) being traded per session on the two exchanges. These figures represented growth of 10.2 per cent in trading volume and 22.6 per cent in trading value compared to the previous session.
However, the cash flow only focused on certain stocks, creating a strong division.
Last week’s rally was mainly driven by large-cap stocks, particularly on the VN30 basket, which tracks the top 30 largest shares by market value and liquidty on the HCM Stock Exchange.
Mobile phone retailer Mobile World Group (MWG) gained 6.3 per cent for the week, followed by real estate giant Vingroup (VIC), up 6.5 per cent; IT group FPT (FPT), up 5 per cent, brewer Sabeco (SAB), up 4.6 per cent; PV Gas (GAS), private quity firm Masan Group (MSN) and budget airline Vietjet (VJC) each growing by over 2 per cent.
Among banks, VPBank was the biggest gainer with a weekly gain of 7.9 per cent; BIDV (BID) rallied by over 1 per cent, while others such as Vietcombank (VCB) and Military Bank (MBB) increased by less than 1 per cent.
Nguyen Van Hanh, a broker at Sai Gon-Ha Noi Securities JSC, said large caps will likely continue to grow and be a major market supporter this week because leading companies are expected to report good earnings.
Securities growth
Hanh said the financial stocks, particularly banks and securities companies, will have more growth opportunities as these sectors are forecast to achieve high profits. Besides banks which have continuously gained value in recent weeks, securities shares started to rise last week.
Shares of MB Securities (MBS) climbed 8.3 per cent; Viet Capital Securities (VCI) rose 7 per cent; HCM Securities Corp (HCM) grew 4.8 per cent; and Sai Gon-Ha Noi Securities (SHS) was up 1.6 per cent.
According to Nguyen Duy Dinh, a stock analyst at MB Securities Co, with the strong growth of the stock market since the beginning of this year, securities companies have bright prospect. Revenues from all core businesses, from brokerage services to self investment and margin lending, all increased.
Apart from securities companies, realty stocks also have rising potential thanks to favorable development of the real estate market this year.
According to BIDV Securities Co’s report, about 26 listed companies on the two national stock exchanges have released their third-quarter earnings with total net profits of VND937 billion, a temporary decline of 15 per cent from the previous quarter.
However, some analysts reckon investors will start to sell stocks when their companies disclose earnings results to book short profits.
Despite possible divergence, analysts are optimistic about the market trend this week with the Sai Gon-Ha Noi Securities forecasting the VN-Index may touch 830 points.
On the negative side, foreign investors remained net sellers on the two exchanges last week with total trading volume of over 17.5 million shares, equivalent to combined net sell value of nearly VND551 billion.
