EU trade deal will help Viet Nam exports: Fitch
EU trade deal will help Viet Nam exports: Fitch
The signing of a free trade agreement (FTA) between the European Union and Viet Nam will bring significant long-term macro-economic benefits for Viet Nam, Fitch Ratings said.
"The deal would help to boost foreign investment, productivity and exports, strengthening potential growth and external accounts," Fitch said in a report released this week.
The agreement will eliminate almost all tariffs over a 10-year transition period, with most tariffs being removed once the agreement comes into effect.
The agreement will also open up parts of the Vietnamese services sector – including financial services – to European investment.
Fitch said Viet Nam was already benefiting from strong external balances and relatively high real GDP growth rates. The average real GDP growth in the 2010-14 period was 5.9 per cent, versus a ‘BB' country median of 4.5 per cent, while Viet Nam posted a current account surplus of 4.5 per cent of the GDP in 2014 versus a peer median deficit of – 1.3 per cent. External accounts are further strengthened by strong and stable FDI inflows, with the net FDI totalling 3.9 per cent of the GDP (US$7.2 billion).
"The European Union countries, together, are Viet Nam's second-largest trading partner after China, with Viet Nam benefiting from a substantial goods trade surplus with Europe. Further lowering of trade and investment barriers should help support Viet Nam's rapidly growing exports sector, and promote further FDI inflows," Fitch said.
Viet Nam's exports to the European Union were reportedly worth $27.9 billion in 2014, up by roughly 15 per cent from 2013.
"Notably, too, Viet Nam remains in the negotiations for the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) free trade agreement with 11 other Pacific Rim countries, including the United States and Japan. Should the TPP be passed, Viet Nam will have concluded free trade agreements with three of its top four export destinations."
Fitch expects Viet Nam's improved macroeconomic stability and external accounts to remain a key support for its sovereign credit profile.
